Rain is Back
It was a memorable weekend in Kern County, but in many instances for the wrong reason. While abundant sunshine and mild weather came to the mountains and deserts, immovable fog ruined the weekend for residents of the southern San Joaquin valley. Southeasterly winds never materialized to scour out the south valley and temperatures were greatly restricted to the 40s on Saturday and 50s on Sunday. This was 20 or more degrees below the predicted highs from Friday.
In the meantime, a disturbance coming up from the southeast was producing rain showers on Monday afternoon- which had also been forecast last week. In this case a tenth to a quarter of an inch will probably verify. The showers will help to clear out fog in the south valley for tonight. Low pressure aloft is expected to keep clouds around through Tuesday. The greatest probability for precipitation will run from late this evening through about sunrise on Tuesday. Winds have been strong easterly in the mountains, but they should begin to diminish by Tuesday. Mostly cloudy weather is slated to persist all week, with another chance for light showers late Thursday and early this Friday.
A deepening trough of low pressure in the west will then start to move east by late Friday into the weekend. And, just like this past weekend, a huge ridge of high pressure will build over northern California. Another problematic forecast for the end of the 10-day period appears. Given the lessons learned from the last few days, I am going to move cautiously next weekend and into the following week with a forecast of partly cloudy skies with a reasonable chance for more dense fog. Mountain and desert areas will be sunny, windy and mild. During the fog season, which runs through Valentine's Day, implacable dense Tule fog is always the wildcard. We may well clear out next week with hazy sunshine, but it is equally possible the fog monster may return.
Enjoy our brief interlude of rain showers through early Tuesday morning in the meantime.
1-26-15 6:26 pm Chief Meteorologist MILES MUZIO